What caused Iberia’s blackout? Renewable energy’s opponents were quick to blame solar and wind, but multiple factors appear to be at play

On 28 April 2025, most of Spain and Portugal, as well as Andorra and small areas of southern France, lost access to electricity (Figure 1). 

Virtually the entire affected area had been restored to normal within 24 hours. By then, claims had already begun to circulate about the blackout’s cause. Many news outlets and social media users around the world were quick to blame renewables or ‘net zero’ policies for triggering the blackout. Others raised alternative explanations, such as a cyberattack or a solar flare.

As of this writing, authorities continue to investigate the blackout’s cause. Untangling why an electric grid failed is not a simple task – grids are very complex systems with failsafes designed to prevent this exact scenario, and blackouts only tend to happen when multiple things go wrong. It is therefore too soon to draw any conclusions about what may or may not have actually caused the blackout.

With that in mind, we’ll cover what we do know about the sequence of events that led to the blackout. Then, we’ll unpack some of the viral claims that have spread across both print and social media.

What we know – and what we don’t know – about the Iberian blackout

On 9 May 2025, a panel from ENTSO-E – a pan-European group of electrical grid operators  – released an initial timeline of the blackout. As we’ve said, the report did not conclude what actually caused the power cut, but it does allow us to establish a timeline (Figure 2). The first unusual event happened about 30 minutes before the power actually failed:

• 12:03-12:07: The grid experienced a series of oscillations – the quantity of power flowing through the grid repeatedly rose and fell.
  
  Oscillations like these are unplanned. They can happen in any electric grid, but the grid can usually dampen them out, and they typically go unnoticed. Indeed, despite the oscillations, the grid remained in normal operation at first. 
  
• 12:19-12:21: A second series of oscillations is observed. Again, the grid remains in order.
  
  We don’t yet know what caused these initial disturbances. Miguel de Simón Martín, Professor of Electrical Engineering at the University of León, told Science Feedback that “there is still no clear information about the event (or set of events) that caused the initial oscillations in the system, which need not have come from renewable generation sources.”
  
• 12:32: About eleven minutes after the second set of oscillations, numerous generators in the south of Spain ‘tripped’, or abruptly disconnected from the grid.
  
  Miguel de Simón Martín noted to Science Feedback that “it has not yet been reported which [power sources] and what technology they were”. On 14 May 2025, Spain’s energy minister said that a substation in Granada was the first to disconnect, followed by two other substations in Badajoz and Seville, elsewhere in the country’s south.
  
• 12:33: In the next several seconds, the frequency of the Iberian peninsula’s electric grid began to drop (we’ll discuss what this means in the next section). Automatic systems, trying to keep the grid active, shut down power in some areas and shut off the links connecting Spain to France and the rest of Europe’s grid.
  
  This was not successful – less than 30 seconds later, the entire peninsula lost electricity.

Electrical operators immediately began trying to restore normalcy – by 12:44, they had already begun restoring power in some regions by re-electrifying connections between Spain and France. Within about 16 hours, by the next morning, the grid had been fully restored in all of Spain and Portugal.

As you can see, there’s much that we don’t know: what caused the initial pair of oscillation events, how these oscillations may be related to the eventual blackout, and what power sources went down to trigger the blackout. 

Many have speculated, but in the absence of evidence, we can’t make definitive conclusions – certainly not when electric grids are complex systems with many components. With that in mind, let’s look at some of the ideas that have floated around.

Why frequency matters for electric grids and renewables

Much attention has been paid to the drop in frequency. Many commentators and claims were quick to point fingers, noting that Spain’s grid is highly dependent on solar power. This fits a pattern – commentators and fossil fuel supporters are often quick to blame renewables for unfortunate events, without waiting for real evidence.

The electricity on the grid relies on alternating current (AC) – current that repeatedly switches the direction it is flowing. Frequency measures how often the direction switches. Spain and Portugal, like most of the world, have grids whose current switches back and forth 50 times per second – a frequency of 50 hertz (Hz). (North America and some countries in Asia have higher-frequency 60 Hz grids.)

The opposite of AC is direct current (DC), which only flows in one direction. We use AC on the grid, because AC loses less electricity than DC when we transmit it over long distances.

So, the AC frequency must be maintained if a grid is to operate properly. Seconds before the 28 April 2025 blackout started, the Iberian grid’s frequency dropped from 50 Hz to 48 Hz. This may seem like a small change, but it’s large enough to damage electrical equipment and threaten the entire grid – this is why automated systems were so quick to take action.

Large fossil fuel and nuclear power plants generate power using large turbines, which can keep a regular frequency akin to a metronome keeping tempo. Wind turbines (which are far smaller) and solar panels, however, produce DC. They typically rely on other equipment such as inverters to ensure that their electricity matches the grid frequency.

This is one challenge with adapting electric grids to large amounts of solar and wind. They need equipment to ensure that they can adapt to the grid’s frequency. “Renewable generation sources are not the problem, but they must be used in a way that is compatible with grid capacities”, Miguel de Simón Martín told Science Feedback.

It isn’t an unknown issue – power grid analysts are very well aware of it, and electrical operators plan for it.

We don’t know if a lack of inertia was what caused the Spanish blackout, but there is some precedent for it elsewhere. For example, a 2016 blackout in South Australia may have been caused by a lack of inertia^[1]. In that incident, heavy winds from a violent storm damaged criticial transmission lines, and the grid could not maintain its frequency, resulting in the entire state losing electricity.

A 2019 blackout in the United Kingdom occurred when, thanks to lightning striking a transmission line, two major power stations disconnected from the grid at the same time. The frequency dropped from its usual 50 Hz to 48.8 Hz, and the grid responded by automatically offloading around 1 million customers. This was enough to keep the grid in order – most of the UK’s lights stayed on, and those who did lose power regained it within 45 minutes. 

If a similar scenario played out in Spain, it’s unclear why a similar process didn’t prevent a complete blackout.

Grids can run on renewables

Again, we don’t have the conclusive evidence to say what caused the blackout. It’s not clear that a lack of inertia was actually responsible – even if it did, renewables may not have gone down in the first place.

Even if we did, it’s misleading to say that blackouts caused by a lack of inertia, such as the examples in the last section, are ‘caused by renewables’. This is an issue with the grid infrastructure – blaming solar panels or wind turbines is akin to blaming water for a leaky pipe.

“There’s nothing wrong with wind and solar which would have caused the blackout. It is just the way we manage them”, Janusz Bialek, Principal Research Fellow at the Control and Power Group at Imperial College London, told Science Feedback.

Furthermore, such claims can leave readers with the impression that adding renewables inherently causes blackouts, which is not the case.

For example, at the time of the Iberian blackout, around midday on 28 April 2025, solar panels accounted for 59% of Spain’s electricity, wind turbines for 12%, nuclear power for 11%, and gas power for around 5%.

This sort of mix isn’t unusual – Spain has generated a high share of its electricity from renewables for years without triggering a major blackout (Figure 3). Indeed, several days earlier, on 16 April 2025, Spain generated enough electricity with solar, wind and hydro to meet 100% of the grid’s demand on a weekday for the first time ever. 

There are many other examples of solar- and wind-dependent grids, many of which draw 100% of their electricity from low-carbon sources, which run smoothly even without nuclear. For example, when California’s electric grid ran entirely on hydro, wind, and solar for parts of 98 days in 2024, no blackouts ensued – nor, for that matter, did electricity prices rise^[2]. 

In fact, South Australia has nearly doubled the average share of solar and wind in its grid since its blackout, rising from 41% in 2016 to 72% in 2025. That state hasn’t experienced a blackout on the same level since.

What is true is that a grid that draws electricity from several very large fossil fuel plants cannot operate in the same way as a grid based on many distributed solar panels and wind turbines. Bialek told Science Feedback:

“The problem is that we are living in a transition period from this traditional era of fossil-fuel-based generation to renewable-based energy. We are seeing teething problems. Sometimes, they are dramatic.”

This is why renewable grids need equipment such as inverters to provide inertia. Again, grid operators are well aware of this problem, and inverters are improving. There are other ways of providing inertia in a solar- or wind-heavy grid, such as adding battery storage^[3,4].

No evidence for several claims about the Iberian blackout

The Guardian and several other news outlets credited Portugal’s grid operator REN with saying that ‘induced atmospheric vibration’ had caused the blackout – REN later denied having made any such statement. ‘Induced atmospheric vibration’ is not a term that meteorologists or climate scientists use. Atmospheric phenomena can disturb electric infrastructure, but there’s no evidence this happened in Spain. It’s worth noting that the weather in Spain on 28 April 2025 was calm.

Other claims, some of which garnered hundreds of thousands of views on X/Twitter, suggested that the blackout was caused by a “solar flare”, a burst of energy released from the Sun. While powerful solar flares can knock out electrics – this is one reason scientists are always monitoring what the Sun is doing – scientists did not observe a spike in solar activity in the days around 28 April 2025. Moreover, Science Feedback found no evidence that any authoritative source actually blamed a solar flare.

There was also some initial speculation that the blackout was deliberate – the result of an act of sabotage or a cyber attack – but there’s no evidence to support this speculation. Less than a day after the blackout, Spanish and Portuguese authorities denied a cyber attack.

Some accounts spread falsified images of publications such as the Independent and France24 purporting to report that the blackout was a “consequence of European sanctions on Russia” or a result of Russian-made equipment being replaced on the European power grid. These images are fabricated, and some have been linked to known sources of Russian-backed disinformation.

References

• 1 – Yan et al. (2018) The Anatomy of the 2016 South Australia Blackout: A Catastrophic Event in a High Renewable Network. IEEE Transactions on Power Systems.
• 2. Jacobson et al. (2025) No blackouts or cost increases due to 100 % clean, renewable electricity powering California for parts of 98 days. Renewable Energy.
• 3 – Curto et al. (2022) Grid Stability Improvement Using Synthetic Inertia by Battery Energy Storage Systems in Small Islands. Energy.
• 4 – Ahmed et al. (2023) Dynamic grid stability in low carbon power systems with minimum inertia. Renewable Energy.